11 Nov · 13:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1575
FormWWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1749
FormWLWWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+174
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)