11 Nov · 07:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlad
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1478
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.