11 Nov · 13:50 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1577
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H12-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)