11 Nov · 10:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1435
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fiklik
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1401
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (244)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.