11 Nov · 11:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1531
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vitasek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1530
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H16-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.