11 Nov · 08:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1422
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1435
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlumsky🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (244)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.