11 Nov · 08:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1476
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H11-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.