11 Nov · 12:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1540
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H26-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)