11 Nov · 09:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1422
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jamrich
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1475
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlumsky🌟Jamrich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (48)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H17-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.