11 Nov · 13:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1540
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dvorak
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1431
FormLLWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H59-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-34)