11 Nov · 07:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1441
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sturma
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1426
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (125)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.