11 Nov · 13:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1471
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zustina🌟Zustina covers set handicap as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.