11 Nov · 11:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1512
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1471
FormWWLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zustina🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (195)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.