11 Nov · 12:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1459
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sochor
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1547
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (211)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)