11 Nov · 09:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1478
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mandrysz
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1476
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.