11 Nov · 00:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1450
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1515
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Patryk goes over total as favourite 83% (18)
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H45-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-26)