25 Jun · 17:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1318
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Glanowski
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1408
FormLLLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)