25 Jun · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1537
FormLWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Bernacki
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1403
FormLLLLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)