25 Jun · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kurek
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1402
FormWWLWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)