25 Jun · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1314
FormLWLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
27%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+263
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)