25 Jun · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1354
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wisniewski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1320
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+34
H2H66-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.