25 Jun · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1323
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1370
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H22-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)