25 Jun · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1458
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szydlo
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1329
FormLLWLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Szydlo
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)