25 Jun · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1433
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Warpas
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1313
FormLWWLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H29-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-19)