25 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1610
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.