25 Jun · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1307
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1367
FormLWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H11-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)