25 Jun · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1776
FormWLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Molenda
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1559
FormLWWWL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
24%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H12-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-1)