25 Jun · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1600
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Adamus
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1458
FormLLWWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)