25 Jun · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1638
FormWLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Koczyba
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1462
FormWLLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)