25 Jun · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1340
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1438
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)