25 Jun · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1544
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kukawka
MK
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1631
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kukawka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H28-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)