25 Jun · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1783
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Molenda
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1609
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)