25 Jun · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1606
FormWLWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Adamus
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1333
FormWLLLW
77%
23%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+273
H2H37-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+273)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-13)