25 Jun · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1582
FormLWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1783
FormWWWLL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+201
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)