26 Jun · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1611
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Szymik
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1609
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.