25 Jun · 23:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1540
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Stapor
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1405
FormWLWWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)