25 Jun · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1575
FormWLWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Lebek
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1329
FormLWLLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
26%
3-2
20%
2-3
12%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+246
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+246)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)