26 Jun · 01:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kukawka
MK
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1636
FormWWLWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Kukawka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 33% · 3.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H29-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-28)