26 Jun · 00:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1614
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1656
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H29-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)