26 Jun · 00:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Stapor
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1294
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~74 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
20%
2-3
12%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+234
H2H23-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-10)