26 Jun · 04:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1246
FormLLWLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1516
FormWWLLW
23%
77%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
28%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+270
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+270)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)