26 Jun · 02:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1525
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stapor
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1413
FormLWWLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)