26 Jun · 01:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1603
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1626
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.