26 Jun · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1463
FormWWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1610
FormWLWWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+147
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)