26 Jun · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1588
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1670
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)