26 Jun · 03:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1599
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cyndera
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1576
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.