26 Jun · 06:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1384
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1385
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H17-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.