26 Jun · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1573
FormLWWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Kurek
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1303
FormLWLWL
77%
23%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+270
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+270)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)