26 Jun · 07:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1388
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mugowski
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1384
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mugowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H43-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.