26 Jun · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1406
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulkowski
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1384
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H17-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.